2020 finished at 45-27-1 – good for 62.5%.
The start of the season was slow, but then we had a hall of fame worthy October, sandwiching two 4-1s with three straight perfect 5-0 weeks. We treaded water for a while before closing strong the last two weeks.
There were some valuable lessons learned in a really good season…
I love to play dogs, but picking the wrong pup will get you in trouble. It seems like every year I tend to fade the really good teams and support the really bad teams. I didn’t fade Alabama or Clemson last year, and I didn’t tail Kansas or Arizona. I stuck to teams in the middle of the pack. That seems to be my sweet spot.
History tells me that I really suck the first few weeks of the season. Every single year I am digging out of a hole. Need to turn that around. I am going to spend a lot of time analyzing the types of games I pick the first two weeks of the season and try to not make the same mistakes next year.
I did a better job believing my eyes. I noticed LSU wasn’t LSU, and I faded them often early in the season. I also saw that Miss State was a team in disarray, and took advantage to fade them. 2020 was such a weird year because of the short off-season. Teams in transition seemed to struggle more, and had a harder time getting out of their tailspin. I was happy to take advantage of that.
I also placed a huge emphasis on being on the side with the better coaching staff. The older I get, the more I realize that leadership is more important than talent. There are certain coaches out there I absolutely love (Stoops, Mullins, Gundy, Whittingham) and those guys are great ATS.
I really appreciate everyone following. The picks have always been and will always be absolutely free.
Here’s to a great 2020 and a better 2021.
Keep picking those dogs!