09/22/2018 – Boston College vs Purdue – Football Preview

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Boston College vs Purdue

12:00 PM – September 22, 2018

Ross-Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, IN

LINE:

CURRENT:

PUR +7

TOTAL:

65

OPENING:

PUR +7

TOTAL:

65

PAT’S THOUGHTS:

Max’s Take:

This is an interesting game to me. On one side you have Boston College, a team I feel is grossly underrated that has shown an affinity for putting up points and beating up on teams. On the other you have the hang-around guys of Purdue. They’re 0-3 but they’ve lost those three games by a combined 8 points. Six and a half points seems reasonable if not a little high for this ACC/B1G showdown so I wanted to take a closer look.

After some reading, there are solid arguments that this will be a close game Purdue at +6.5 is worth a really hard look. However, in honor of my two best friends passing the bar exam this week, I decided to play lawyer with these arguments. I’ll let you be the judge, jury, and executioner.
Argument 1: Purdue hangs in. Many are saying that this team deserves better than an 0-3 record. They’ve been so close and they’ve looked good. They should be able to give BC a run for their money, especially at home.
 
Rebuttal: Boston College is much better than the teams that Purdue has seen so far. The three teams that have beaten the Boilermakers are 54th, 87th, and 39th in F+. Boston College is 21st. Therefore, the three close games they’ve played don’t really play a factor for me. If both teams ranked above Purdue’s 59th fell just 2.5 points short of covering this spread, it stands to reason that Boston College should cross that threshold.

Argument 2: Purdue’s stout defense will give Boston College trouble. After all, they’ve clamped down on EMU’s 26th ranked (S&P) offense and Missouri’s 10th ranked offense. Surely they can have a similar performance against BC’s 17th ranked offense.

Rebuttal: Top-line numbers don’t tell the whole story here. Their first three opponents were very one dimensional. In fact, those three teams average 89th in the nation in rushing offense. Boston College, on the other hand, boasts the country’s 6th best rushing attack behind AJ Dillon, the monster of a true sophomore averaging 144 yards per game. Plot twist, they can also throw. QB Anthony Brown has completed 68.8 percent of his passes for 626 yards and has nine touchdowns to zero interceptions. I love BC to wear down this rush defense, make them stack the box and then throw it over the top.

Argument 3: Boston College hasn’t been tested against an offense like Purdue’s. Purdue has the nation’s 25th best rushing attack and started to find some success through the air last week. They should be able to put up points and keep this game within a touchdown.

Rebuttal: This will be the best offense BC has seen. However, they’re one dimensional, ranking 88th in passing offense. Also, I believe in Steve Addazio’s ability to game plan around his team’s weaknesses. I think he controls the clock with Dillon and keeps Purdue’s offense off the field as much as possible.

Closing remarks: Purdue hasn’t been able to get it together so far and this is the best team they’ve faced. Boston College has blown out two teams and was two special teams mistakes away from blowing out a third. This is Steve’s year. He finally has a well-rounded team and is on a mission to prove that this team belongs in the ACC conversation. Add in the morale boost from cracking the top 25 and having an extra-long week to rest and I think that they make a statement in Indiana on Saturday.

Schedule:

Boston College

DATE

OPPONENT

SCORE

LINE

TOTAL

September 1, 2018

vs UMass

W 55-21

W -20.5

O 62.5

September 8, 2018

vs Holy Cross

W 62-14

W -44.5

O 57

September 13, 2018

@ Wake Forest

W 41-34

W -6.5

O 58.5

September 22, 2018

@ Purdue

September 29, 2018

vs Temple

October 6, 2018

@ NC State

October 13, 2018

vs Louisville

October 26, 2018

vs Miami

November 3, 2018

@ Virginia Tech

November 10, 2018

vs Clemson

November 17, 2018

@ Florida State

November 24, 2018

vs Syracuse

Purdue

DATE

OPPONENT

SCORE

LINE

TOTAL

August 30, 2018

vs Northwestern

L 27-31

L -1

O 51

September 8, 2018

vs E Michigan

L 19-20

L -15

U 50

September 15, 2018

vs Missouri

L 37-40

W 5

O 68

September 22, 2018

vs Boston College

September 29, 2018

@ Nebraska

October 13, 2018

@ Illinois

October 20, 2018

vs Ohio State

October 27, 2018

@ Michigan State

November 3, 2018

vs Iowa

November 10, 2018

@ Minnesota

November 17, 2018

vs Wisconsin

November 24, 2018

@ Indiana

INJURY REPORT:

Boston College

DATE

POSITION

PLAYER

INJURY

STATUS

Purdue

DATE

POSITION

PLAYER

INJURY

STATUS

September 17, 2018

CB

Simeon Smiley

Concussion

Doubtful

September 16, 2018

QB

Elijah Sindelar

Undisclosed

Questionable

September 16, 2018

DT

Keiwan Jones

Undisclosed

Questionable

July 28, 2018

RB

Richie Worship

ACL

Out

Statistics:

Boston College

OFFENSE:

SEASON

RANK

DEFENSE:

SEASON

RANK

Total Yards

577.7

11

Total Yards

363.3

64

Passing Yards

291.7

35

Passing Yards

176.3

36

Rushing Yards

286

8

Rushing Yards

187

93

Points

52.7

6

Points

23

59

Turnovers

1

6

Turnovers

5

13

Purdue

OFFENSE:

Season

Rank

DEFENSE:

Season

Rank

Total Yards

520.7

19

Total Yards

475

114

Passing Yards

325.7

18

Passing Yards

319

121

Rushing Yards

195

56

Rushing Yards

156

73

Points

27.7

86

Points

30.3

94

Turnovers

5

107

Turnovers

1

106


GAME ARTICLES:

Boston College Homepage

BC Forum

BC Interruption (SB Nation)

Bleacher Report BC

SB Nation BC

College Football News BC

Boston College ESPN