09/15/2018 – Washington vs Utah – Football Preview

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Washington vs Utah

10:00 PM – September 15, 2018

Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City, UT

LINE:

CURRENT:

UTAH +6.5

TOTAL:

47.5

OPENING:

UTAH +6.5

TOTAL:

47.5

PAT’S THOUGHTS:

Max’s Take:
The Utes are a sneaky bunch. If you don’t follow the PAC 12 or don’t like staying up until the wee hours watching games, you’d assume there’s nothing there. But if you follow this team then you know that sometimes there be gold in them hills. Seriously, this team is sneaky good and has been one or two games away from being in the national discussion several times. This year isn’t any different. When Pat first asked for my thoughts I said what a lot of people probably did. The Huskies are a playoff contender and out for blood to avenge their loss to Auburn. They should cover easily against a team that barely beat Northern Illinois last week.
I think I may have jumped the gun. Washington has a lot of hype and produced a valiant effort against Auburn. They’re 29th in total yards on offense And trounced North Dakota last week to bounce back. But that doesn’t tell the whole story. They’re actually underperforming expectations, clocking in at 48th in offensive S&P. The reason for this could be that they can’t seem to find a running game. Browning is a contender and is doing his all to carry the offense, but its hard to string together full games against quality teams when you rank 92nd in rushing yards per game. “But Max, this is Utah, they’ll be fine.” If that was your thought, sit down before you read this. Utah is ranked 1st, that’s right, numero uno in S&P defense. They are also 1st in passing yards allowed per game and 24th in rushing yards allowed per game. That means Browning will need a running game to support him. If you have a team that can defend the pass at an elite level, the last thing you want is for them to have the confidence to drop 7-8 guys into coverage on long downs. Well, based on the run game and the fact that Browning was sacked five times against Auburn, that might be exactly what Utah does.
Now, that isn’t to say go all in on Utah. The other side of the ball is completely different story. Utah is 102nd in offensive S&P, while Washington is 5th on defense. So Utah won’t be lighting up the scoreboard either. Washington’s overall raw stats on defense aren’t great but their adjusted stats are. They showed the nation that the days of the scrappy teams out west not knowing how to play defense are over. Those boys stood toe-to-toe with Auburn and threw haymakers on the defensive side of the ball. Utah’s offensive rank doesn’t inspire confidence that they’ll be able to score on Washington much at all. However, Northern Illinois sits at 9th in S&P defense and they did hang 17 on them. I just think that Washington is a different beast.
Ultimately, I’m not betting this one. Both teams have a huge advantage on the defensive side of the ball so it’s going to be a war of attrition and come down to which team can stay patient and capitalize on the other’s few mistakes. College football is great because its unpredictable and these kids making mistakes that pros wouldn’t keeps the game interesting. However, I don’t like to risk it all on unpredictability. If you do want to bet this then ask yourself these three questions:
1) How much does home field advantage matter? Will the Utes be able to ride crowd momentum and find some success against one of the nation’s best defenses?
2) Which team is better suited for a defensive battle? Both teams have been in one this year. Utah won their’s against NIU while Washington lost to Auburn. However, Washington was playing a much tougher opponent.
3) But do they cover? Maybe you think there’s no way Washington lets their playoff hopes end here and that they walk out of Salt Lake with a win. But remember, that isn’t the bet. Before you do anything ask yourself, do they cover? Does UW do enough to avoid a defensive struggle and win by a touchdown? Conversely, even if Utah’s defense keeps them in it, can they stay that close? Will it be a down to the wire, 3 point game, or will Utah be completely unable to move the ball and lose a spread-busting 14-3 contest?

Schedule:

Washington

DATE

OPPONENT

SCORE

LINE

TOTAL

September 1, 2018

vs Auburn

L 16-21

L 1.5

U 50.5

September 8, 2018

vs North Dakota

W 45-3

L -46

U 57

September 15, 2018

@ Utah

September 22, 2018

vs Arizona State

September 29, 2018

vs BYU

October 6, 2018

@ UCLA

October 13, 2018

@ Oregon

October 20, 2018

vs Colorado

October 27, 2018

@ Cal

November 3, 2018

vs Stanford

November 17, 2018

vs Oregon State

November 23, 2018

@ Washington St

Utah

DATE

OPPONENT

SCORE

LINE

TOTAL

August 30, 2018

vs Weber State

W 41-10

W -30.5

O 49.5

September 8, 2018

@ N Illinois

W 17-6

L -12.5

U 47.5

September 15, 2018

vs Washington

September 29, 2018

@ Washington St

October 6, 2018

@ Stanford

October 12, 2018

vs Arizona

October 20, 2018

vs USC

October 26, 2018

@ UCLA

November 3, 2018

@ Arizona State

November 10, 2018

vs Oregon

November 17, 2018

@ Colorado

November 24, 2018

vs BYU

INJURY REPORT:

Washington

DATE

POSITION

PLAYER

INJURY

STATUS

September 10, 2018

LB

DJ Beavers

Foot

Questionable

September 10, 2018

OL

Nick Harris

Undisclosed

Questionable

September 5, 2018

OL

Trey Adams

Back

Out for Season

August 24, 2018

LB

Brandon Wellington

ACL

Out

July 25, 2018

Hunter Bryant

Knee

Out

Utah

DATE

POSITION

PLAYER

INJURY

STATUS

August 30, 2018

OL

Johnny Capra

Undisclosed

Out for Season

August 7, 2018

RB

Devonta’e Henry-Cole

Undisclosed

Out for Season

September 12, 2018

RB

Zack Moss

Ankle

Probable

Statistics:

Washington

OFFENSE:

SEASON

RANK

DEFENSE:

SEASON

RANK

Total Yards

515

29

Total Yards

341

54

Passing Yards

366.5

12

Passing Yards

187

49

Rushing Yards

148.5

92

Rushing Yards

154

81

Points

30.5

74

Points

12

22

Turnovers

Turnovers

1

107

Utah

OFFENSE:

Season

Rank

DEFENSE:

Season

Rank

Total Yards

470.5

42

Total Yards

144.5

1

Passing Yards

289.5

33

Passing Yards

62

1

Rushing Yards

181

67

Rushing Yards

82.5

21

Points

29

80

Points

8

6

Turnovers

6

118

Turnovers

2

85


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