09/15/2018 – Miami vs Toledo – Football Preview

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Miami vs Toledo

12:00 PM – September 15, 2018

Glass Bowl, Toledo, OH

LINE:

CURRENT:

TOL +11.5

TOTAL:

59

OPENING:

TOL +9.5

TOTAL:

56.5

PAT’S THOUGHTS:

Never, ever take the Canes to cover in a noon road game.  Toledo has a solid offense, and actually led Miami last year at the half.  They are also coming off a bye and you know this is their game of the year.  My thoughts – I don’t like laying double digits on the road.  I also don’t like backing a team that is playing up in class.  Pub in on Miami at 70%.  Strong pass for me.
Max’s Thoughts:
I didn’t really look at it hard until I decided to check Toledo. They’re decent every couple of years so I figured I should give it a look given the dumpster fire that is Miami. S&P+ margin predicts a 5.4-point WIN for Toledo, with Toledo ranked a sneaky #19 overall in S&P+ (in all three phases too, at #24, #36 & #31, respectively, in S&P offense, defense and special teams), while Miami is #32 overall in S&P+ (VERY one-dimensional, with an elite defense ranked #12 S&P, but abysmal offense and special teams ranked #80 & #112, respectively).

Schedule:

Miami

DATE

OPPONENT

SCORE

LINE

TOTAL

September 2, 2018

vs LSU

L 17-33

L -3

O 47.5

September 8, 2018

vs Savannah State

W 77-0

W -61

O 69

September 15, 2018

@ Toledo

September 22, 2018

vs FIU

September 27, 2018

vs North Carolina

October 6, 2018

vs Florida State

October 13, 2018

@ Virginia

October 26, 2018

@ Boston College

November 3, 2018

vs Duke

November 10, 2018

@ Georgia Tech

November 17, 2018

@ Virginia Tech

November 24, 2018

vs Pitt

Toledo

DATE

OPPONENT

SCORE

LINE

TOTAL

September 1, 2018

vs VMI

W 66-33

W -48.5

O 57

September 15, 2018

vs Miami

September 22, 2018

vs Nevada

September 29, 2018

@ Fresno State

October 6, 2018

vs Bowling Green

October 13, 2018

@ E Michigan

October 20, 2018

vs Buffalo

October 25, 2018

@ W Michigan

October 31, 2018

vs Ball State

November 7, 2018

@ N Illinois

November 15, 2018

@ Kent State

November 23, 2018

vs Cent Michigan

INJURY REPORT:

Miami

DATE

POSITION

PLAYER

INJURY

STATUS

September 14, 2018

WR

Ahmmon Richards

Knee

Out

September 9, 2018

LB

De’Andre Wilder

Neck

Questionable

September 12, 2018

DL

Demetrius Jackson

Knee

Probable

August 15, 2018

OL

George Brown Jr.

Knee

Out

August 8, 2018

Michael Irvin II

Knee

Out

September 10, 2018

DL

Gregory Rousseau

Ankle

Out

Toledo

DATE

POSITION

PLAYER

INJURY

STATUS

Statistics:

Miami

OFFENSE:

SEASON

RANK

DEFENSE:

SEASON

RANK

Total Yards

418

72

Total Yards

187

3

Passing Yards

257

52

Passing Yards

94

6

Rushing Yards

161

79

Rushing Yards

93

26

Points

47

18

Points

16.5

36

Turnovers

4

85

Turnovers

4

32

Toledo

OFFENSE:

Season

Rank

DEFENSE:

Season

Rank

Total Yards

603

7

Total Yards

222

7

Passing Yards

390

5

Passing Yards

174

45

Rushing Yards

213

41

Rushing Yards

48

5

Points

66

1

Points

3

1

Turnovers

0

1

Turnovers

3

56


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